Most Americans (86%) think President Joe Biden is too old to serve another term as president, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll.| ABC News
If prediction markets are so awesome, how can platforms disagree significantly?| marketwise.substack.com
Weeks after it was clear that Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, you could still make pennies on the dollar betting Joe Biden would win. Why doesn’t smart money drive out dumb money in election markets?| asteriskmag.com
Election problems // Trump odds // AI worlds| www.astralcodexten.com
Five Episodes, Five Stories at the Conflux of Serious and Meme| news.manifold.markets
Deep-dive analysis on how well calibrated Manifold markets is and more!| news.manifold.markets