Record stock prices here are the product of a) record valuation multiples that have been inflated by a decade of zero interest rate policy, times b) record earnings that embed distorted profit margins inflated by trillions of dollars of temporary deficit spending. Investors are paying top dollar for top dollar.| Hussman Funds
September 4, 2017Valuations, Sufficient Statistics, and Breathtaking Risks| www.hussmanfunds.com
May 18, 2015 The "New Era" is an Old Story (and introducing Market Cap/GVA) | www.hussmanfunds.com
May 5, 2014 Cahm Viss Me Eef You Vahn to Live | www.hussmanfunds.com
What drives investment returns? Can you simply buy stocks at any price and assume you'll enjoy long-term returns on the order of 10% annually? The answer is no. Unfortunately, the financial industry often encourages investors to imagine this is how markets work. Is there some meaningful structure that drives returns? The answer is yes. Understanding it offers clear insights about how we got here, and where we may be going.| Hussman Funds
The stock market presently stands at valuation extremes matched only twice in U.S. financial history: the week ended December 31, 2021, and the week ended August 26, 1929. Meanwhile, despite all the bluster about technological improvements driving durable increases in corporate profitability over time, the fact is that corporate profit margins before interest and taxes have hovered around the same level for 75 years.| Hussman Funds
