A look at whether unexpected costs, such as energy, drive up the cost of living and result in workers demanding higher wages, contributing to inflation.| Liberty Street Economics
Wage growth has moderated notably following its post-pandemic surge, but it remains strong compared to the wage growth prevailing during the low-inflation pre-COVID years. Will the moderation continue, or will it stall? And what does it say about the current state of the labor market? In this post, we use our own measure of wage growth persistence – called Trend Wage Inflation (TWIn in short) – to look at these questions. Our main finding is that, after a rapid decline from 7 percent at i...| Liberty Street Economics
The authors examine the unemployment-inflation trade-off over the past few years through the lens of a New Keynesian Phillips curve.| Liberty Street Economics
Measure of the wage growth of individuals. It is constructed using microdata from the Current Population Survey (CPS), and is the median percent change in the hourly wage of individuals observed 12 months apart.| www.atlantafed.org