Discover how organizations are applying Superforecasting to make better forecasts and decisions and learn more about our Superforecasters' track record of accuracy.| Good Judgment
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The most accurate early insight available and training services from professional Superforecasters at Good Judgment Inc| Good Judgment
Get all-inclusive access to early insights that matter to your business. FutureFirst is Good Judgment Inc's comprehensive forecasting monitoring tool giving you access to the full portfolio of forecasts from our team of expert Superforecasters.| Good Judgment
From groundbreaking theory to powerhouse practice In 2011, IARPA—the US intelligence community’s equivalent to DARPA—launched a massive competition to identify cutting-edge methods to forecast geopolitical events. Four years, 500 questions, and over a million forecasts later, the Good Judgment Project (GJP)—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed […]| Good Judgment
Superforecaster Elan Pavlov is a polymath. With a PhD in theoretical computer science and a postdoc in behavioral economics from MIT, he has “dabbled,” as he describes it, in many areas: mathematics and computational biology, machine learning, AI, and algorithms, law and even work on fish farms. “I basically look for interesting problems and see if I can solve them,” Elan says in an interview with Good Judgment. One of the big projects he works on today is misinformation detection usi...| Good Judgment
Jean-Pierre Beugoms joined the Good Judgment Project back in 2011, in its first year, and became one of the first ever group of superforecasters. Now a professional Superforecaster with Good Judgment Inc, Jean-Pierre is featured in a new book by psychologist and Wharton School professor Adam Grant, Think Again.| Good Judgment
Alice Dorman, who grew up in Europe, qualified as a Superforecaster through the Good Judgment Project in 2015. Self-described as “a bit of a news junkie,” she talks about the skills and strategies she finds useful in her forecasting and offers practical tips to those starting out as forecasters.| Good Judgment
