Despite the year-to-date decline in the S&P 500, the most reliable valuation measures we monitor remain at levels never observed in market history prior to August 2020. Meanwhile, market internals remain ragged and divergent, suggesting risk-aversion among investors. That combination creates what I've often described as a "trap door" situation. You make friends with bears by understanding them, and by avoiding behavior that will get you eaten.| Hussman Funds
When people say that extreme stock market valuations are “justified” by interest rates, what they’re actually saying is that it’s “reasonable” for investors to price the stock market for long-term returns of nearly zero, because bonds are also priced for long-term returns of nearly zero. I know that’s not what you hear, but it’s precisely what’s being said.| Hussman Funds
Archived commentary is historical in nature and should not be assumed to reflect the current investment outlook or investment practices of the Hussman Funds.| Hussman Funds
September 4, 2017Valuations, Sufficient Statistics, and Breathtaking Risks| www.hussmanfunds.com
May 18, 2015 The "New Era" is an Old Story (and introducing Market Cap/GVA) | www.hussmanfunds.com
May 5, 2014 Cahm Viss Me Eef You Vahn to Live | www.hussmanfunds.com