It’s the Electoral College.| www.natesilver.net
Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h…| FiveThirtyEight
Denying Joe Biden's decline has put Democrats in a terrible position.| www.natesilver.net
Biden needs a more robust electoral map.| www.natesilver.net
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.| www.natesilver.net
All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.| www.natesilver.net