Last week, the #HongKong HSI index was up 5.5% despite only having 3 trading days due to the Chinese New Year holidays. #China index futures were also up ~3% in the same timeframe. Trading is about to resume in mainland #China along with all the country’s business activity after the...| JustDario
The USD dollar keeps strengthening and currently, the $DXY index is trading again above 105 or up ~0.77% in the past 5 days. What about the $USD / $JPY exchange rate? It’s only up ~0.14% while, instead, it should already be trading above 152, also considering the move in US...| JustDario
Crossing a specific FX level isn’t usually a “big deal”. What would be the difference for a country between settling payments at 151.95 or 152.05? Intuitively, it’s quite small. However, there are 2 specific markets where a “round number” can be a very big deal: derivatives and margin lending. Why?...| JustDario
The #Nikkei just broke 40,000 and yet no one in #Japan is celebrating, literally speaking. Why? The purchasing power of $JPY literally fell through the floor in the past 30 years as a result of endless (and reckless) nonstop money printing. As I wrote almost 5 months ago on X:...| JustDario
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with...| JustDario
Imagine you hold an asset of any type. At the moment, the asset XYZ is worth 1M$ according to the price quoted on the exchange. Now, what would be your instinctive reaction if you suddenly discovered that your asset XYZ is instead worth 100k$, but you can still go to...| JustDario
First of all, who the hell is the latest counterpart added to the #FED Standing Repo Facility: “Norinchukin Bank”? “Officially,” it is a Cooperative Bank owned by Japanese agricultural, fishery, forestry cooperatives in #Japan. Yes, that’s right, an “agricultural” bank from Japan got a seat at the #FED big boys...| JustDario
Yes, quantitative easing is what just happened under everyone’s nose. The #JPY interventions of this past week effectively injected about 100 billion #USD into the global financial system that previously was not circulating. Why? Because #Japan MOF selling reserves to fetch #USD that can then be sold in the market...| JustDario
This week we are going to have such a parade of central bank decisions on the menu: #RBA, #BOJ, #FOMC, #BOE, and #SNB 😵💫 All eyes will surely be on the #BOJ and the #FOMC. I do expect they will play “good cop bad cop” with market emotions. 🤭 The...| JustDario
JAPAN END GAME – A DEEPLY DEVALUED $JPY AND A WORTHLESS #NIKKEI| JustDario