This report evaluates the likelihood of ‘explosive growth’, meaning > 30% annual growth of gross world product (GWP), occurring by 2100. Although frontier GDP/capita growth has been constant for 150 years, over the last 10,000 years GWP growth has accelerated significantly. Endogenous growth theory, together with the empirical fact of the demographic transition, can explain […]| Open Philanthropy
The global artificial intelligence market size was valued at USD 279.22 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 35.9% from 2025 to 2030| www.grandviewresearch.com
What the best available forecasting methods say - and why there's no "expert field" for this topic.| Cold Takes