Breathless predictions about Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) are nothing new; they still aren’t true| garymarcus.substack.com
Let's Be Clear About What "AGI Safety" Means| cyberneticforests.substack.com
The conventional wisdom, well captured recently by Ethan Mollick, is that LLMs are advancing exponentially. A few days ago, in very popular blog post, Mollick claimed that “the current best estimates of the rate of improvement in Large Language models show capabilities doubling every 5 to 14 months”:| garymarcus.substack.com
Want to really understand how large language models work? Here’s a gentle primer.| www.understandingai.org