Last night was a big win for Trump, but it was also a big win for prediction markets. In January 2024, I suggested that one of the best ways to follow the election was by following prediction marke…| Economist Writing Every Day
I doubt anyone has been waiting for my take on the Trump and Harris economic plans to decide their vote. More than that, it is entirely reasonable to vote based on things other than their economic …| Economist Writing Every Day
We estimate that the Trump Campaign tax and spending proposals would increase primary deficits by $5.8 trillion over the next 10 years on a conventional basis and by $4.1 trillion on a dynamic basis that includes economic feedback effects. Households across all income groups benefit on a conventiona| Penn Wharton Budget Model
