Kamala Harris was a replacement-level candidate
Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.| www.natesilver.net
Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.| www.natesilver.net
And that might not be such a bad thing for Democrats, especially with their Electoral College disadvantage erased.| www.natesilver.net
Explaining the gap between Harris’s favorability ratings and the head-to-head polls.| www.natesilver.net
She's good at this. And her speech was a shift away from Clintonian politics — and from wokeness.| www.natesilver.net
You can like the president or his policies. But his campaign was a disaster. And he didn't just drop out — he lost.| www.natesilver.net
Elections have consequences, so "future political considerations" are probably more important than their role as "governing partner".| www.natesilver.net
So far, the vice president is still coming out ahead.| www.natesilver.net
Our forecast when Biden was the presumptive Democratic nominee, frozen on the day he dropped out.| www.natesilver.net
Our model is pessimistic for Biden. But the reality is probably worse.| www.natesilver.net
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.| FiveThirtyEight
