THE GREAT PARADOX – BECAUSE OF DECADES OF RECKLESS QE, CENTRAL BANKS SHOULD HIKE RATES TO SAVE THE *REAL* ECONOMY NOT THE OPPOSITE| JustDario
While doing my best to untangle the mess of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), in particular, to figure out which financial institution/s could be in danger after what happened on Monday this week, I stumbled upon something very interesting. Please have a look. This chart represents the Bank of England...| JustDario
Two weeks ago, traders assigned a 60% probability to a FED emergency rate cut, potentially up to 75 basis points. Let me stress this point: an emergency rate cut isn’t an ordinary one. What was the “emergency” that required such a swift and powerful action from the FED two weeks...| JustDario
The FED just delivered an oversized cut with the S&P500 trading at all-time highs, signalling that, contrary to their mandate, their focus isn’t the economy anymore but to deliver the political agenda of the US Administration in charge. That the FED is now clearly solely focused on defending the stock...| JustDario
This current historical period for markets is one of a kind, isn’t it? Surely when it comes to the dissemination of fake and misleading news. This is the set of policy measures the PBOC announced yesterday in support of the Chinese economy: All the policies above except one were in...| JustDario
The U.S. Treasury yield curve is one of the most important indicators in global financial markets, serving as a reflection of investors’ sentiment, economic outlook, and central bank policy. By plotting the yields of government bonds across different maturities, the yield curve provides insight into the direction of interest rates,...| JustDario
I started to cover Norinchukin Bank many months ago already (“WHY IS THE FED PREPARING TO BAIL OUT A JAPANESE BANK? BECAUSE OF THE “NORINCHUKIN” DANGER”) and since then the situation of one of the biggest Japanese banks has become worse and worse: A few weeks ago Norinchukin released its...| JustDario
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS BECAUSE ALREADY (RIDICULOUSLY) INSOLVENT?| JustDario
SECTION 899: THE NUCLEAR TARIFF| JustDario
THE AI END GAME: WINNER TAKES IT ALL AND EVERYONE ELSE LOSES MASSIVELY| JustDario
NOT THE START OF THE YEAR EVERYONE EXPECTED. A “LIFETIME #BTFD OPPORTUNITY” OR BETTER TO BE CAREFUL?| JustDario
WITHOUT THE FED BTFP, BANKS WILL NOW HAVE A HARDER TIME TO “HIDE TILL MATURITY” THEIR LOSSES| JustDario
In September 2023, I addressed for the first time the (nasty) topic of #banks’ balance sheet health in the “This time is not different” post on X. After that, I expanded the analysis to large US and European banks in “WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A...| JustDario
