Follow exit polls from the 2024 general election. Explore key insights, voter demographics and trends that may shape the outcomes of key 2024 election races.| www.nbcnews.com
Part 1 of a 3-part autopsy on the Harris campaign. Plus, a GiveDirectly fundraiser!| www.natesilver.net
Hunter Biden's pardon is another log on the fire.| www.natesilver.net
Plus, what might change in the model for 2028. And prediction markets: lucky or good?| www.natesilver.net
Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.| www.natesilver.net
And that might not be such a bad thing for Democrats, especially with their Electoral College disadvantage erased.| www.natesilver.net
Either Ann Selzer and the New York Times, or the rest of the polling industry.| www.natesilver.net
Explaining the gap between Harris’s favorability ratings and the head-to-head polls.| www.natesilver.net
We don't lack in explanations for why he returned to the White House.| www.natesilver.net
She's good at this. And her speech was a shift away from Clintonian politics — and from wokeness.| www.natesilver.net
Challenger Mode has been working for her. But running as the frontrunner can be harder.| www.natesilver.net
My new book, On the Edge, is out today! Here's everything you need to know about it.| www.natesilver.net
Denying Joe Biden's decline has put Democrats in a terrible position.| www.natesilver.net
Elections have consequences, so "future political considerations" are probably more important than their role as "governing partner".| www.natesilver.net
The rules may be different when it’s a sprint and not a marathon.| www.natesilver.net
So far, the vice president is still coming out ahead.| www.natesilver.net
It's fine. But Shapiro was the higher-upside option that was probably worth the risk.| www.natesilver.net
So is Trump's, but an extra four years makes a difference, and it could be the difference in the election.| www.natesilver.net
Democrats don't know how to spot a bluff.| www.natesilver.net
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.| www.natesilver.net
All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.| www.natesilver.net
It was a peak moment for the left — and it happened on Trump’s watch.| www.natesilver.net
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.| FiveThirtyEight
Many in psychology believe there are five primary personality traits. Learn about the "Big 5" personality traits, as well as what it means to be high or low in each.| Verywell Mind