Eliezer Yudkowsky’s book Inadequate Eqilibria is excellent. I recommend reading it, if you haven’t done so. Three recent reviews are Scott Aaronson’s…| www.lesswrong.com
This post is going to explain a couple of things that I often see people getting confused about. If you’ve got any background in statistics, decision theory, or similar it may be quite obvious to you – this post is for everyone else.| David R. MacIver
Estimation should often start with coming up with a range of plausible values for the true value. In this article I show how that works.| drmaciver.substack.com
Task estimation is hard because you don't actually know what task estimation is. Let me fix that for you.| drmaciver.substack.com