Or will the vibe soon shift back to the left?| www.natesilver.net
How the winning national candidates of the modern era stack up against each other.| www.ettingermentum.news
He made a triple devil’s bargain: with the pandemic, his age, and a Democratic Party that can’t get its priorities straight.| www.natesilver.net
"Fact-checkers" as the high priests of journalism had a political beginning at Facebook — and have met a political end.| www.natesilver.net
The natural outcome of development, and authoritarian pushback| www.richardhanania.com
In a two-party system, the party coalitions are full of contradictions — and the Democrats' are becoming more obvious.| www.natesilver.net
From Diet Woke to Brat Summer to ¯\_(ツ)_/¯| www.natesilver.net
Part 1 of a 3-part autopsy on the Harris campaign. Plus, a GiveDirectly fundraiser!| www.natesilver.net
Hunter Biden's pardon is another log on the fire.| www.natesilver.net
And that might not be such a bad thing for Democrats, especially with their Electoral College disadvantage erased.| www.natesilver.net
Many celebrities have organized groups to endorse the Harris Walz ticket in the 2024 presidential election.| Deadline
Public opinion tends to move in the opposite direction of policy. But how does the public learn that policy is changing, enabling their adjustment?| Niskanen Center - Improving Policy, Advancing Moderation
EnlargeDownload Link Citation: Joint Resolution of Congress proposing a constitutional amendment extending the right of suffrage to women, approved June 4, 1919.; Ratified Amendments, 1795-1992; General Records of the United States Government; Record Group 11; National Archives. View All Pages in the National Archives Catalog View Transcript Passed by Congress June 4, 1919, and ratified on August 18, 1920, the 19th amendment granted women the right to vote. The 19th amendment legally guarante...| National Archives
The Democratic Party needs to ask WTF just happened, and the answers may be right there on the 7 train.| www.natesilver.net
And what does “momentum” mean in the context of an election forecast?| www.natesilver.net
You can like the president or his policies. But his campaign was a disaster. And he didn't just drop out — he lost.| www.natesilver.net
My new book, On the Edge, is out today! Here's everything you need to know about it.| www.natesilver.net
US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions| NBER
So is Trump's, but an extra four years makes a difference, and it could be the difference in the election.| www.natesilver.net
So why won't the media admit as much?| FiveThirtyEight
By 2050, over three-quarters of countries will not have high enough fertility rates to sustain population size over time. This will increase to 97% of countries by 2100.| Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
It was a peak moment for the left — and it happened on Trump’s watch.| www.natesilver.net
Plus, Barbie vs. Oppenheimer, and did the 49ers screw up in the Super Bowl?| www.natesilver.net
Donald Trump’s First-Term Approval Ratings| FiveThirtyEight
The progressive coalition is splitting over Israel and identity politics.| www.natesilver.net
Voters constantly hear that the world is in a state of crisis. It isn't a surprise that they're kicking out incumbents.| www.natesilver.net
Plus, ranking my 7 favorite US cities.| www.natesilver.net
State partisanship and COVID vaccination rates are strongly predictive of COVID death rates even once you account for age.| www.natesilver.net
The line between expertise and politics has become increasingly blurry. The demise of "Old Twitter" could help to reverse that.| www.natesilver.net
history.state.gov 3.0 shell| history.state.gov
How has democracy spread across countries? Are we moving towards a more democratic world? Explore global data and research on democracy.| Our World in Data