The media’s demand for certainty -- and its lack of statistical rigor -- is a bad match for our complex world.| FiveThirtyEight
But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens.| FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.| FiveThirtyEight