What Was Nate Silver’s Data Revolution? | The New Yorker
Silver, a former professional poker player, was in the business of measuring probabilities. Many readers mistook him for an oracle.| The New Yorker
Truth, lies and attacks on Democrats from columnists at the Washington Post and the New York Times.| The Nation
Silver, a former professional poker player, was in the business of measuring probabilities. Many readers mistook him for an oracle.| The New Yorker
S19 WPTDeepStacks Venetian| Flickr
For a scientist, a moment of truth for a hypothesis is the experiment. In this case the “experiment” is the election. Here’s a quick run-through comparing our predictions with outcomes so far. Performance is extremely good. As was the case in 2004 and 2006, the results are consistent with the idea that relatively pure polling data can predict outcomes accurately. That’s n=3 elections.| web.archive.org
Leading Australian economists in four countries have signed an open letter calling on the national cabinet to think carefully before easing restrictions ‘for the sake of 'the economy’.| The Conversation
Back in the early days of the coronavirus in the U.S., many economists believed that aggressive lockdowns would be the best long-term solution for managing the …| FiveThirtyEight
In the lead-up to the 2008 election, Nate Silver revolutionized the way we talk about politics, bringing cold, hard, numerical facts to a world that had been dominated by the gut feelings of reporters and opinion columnists.| The Point Magazine
Based on what most of us would have thought possible a year or two ago, the election of Donald Trump was one of the most shocking events in American political h…| FiveThirtyEight
