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Updated: April 2016, May 2016, and July 2016 To inform the Open Philanthropy Project’s investigation of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence, I (Luke Muehlhauser) conducted a short study of what we know so far about likely timelines for the development of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. 1 What are we trying to forecast? From […]| Open Philanthropy
We have updated our thinking on this subject since this page was published. For our most current content on this topic, see this blog post. This is a writeup of a shallow investigation, a brief look at an area that we use to decide how to prioritize further research. In a nutshell What is the problem? It […]| Open Philanthropy
It seems to me that AI and machine learning research is currently on a very short list of the most dynamic, unpredictable, and potentially world-changing areas of science. It seems to me that AI and machine learning research is currently on a very short list of the most dynamic, unpredictable, and potentially world-changing areas of science.1 In particular, I believe that this research may lead eventually to the development of transformative AI, which we have roughly and conceptually defined ...| Open Philanthropy