2005 Apprenticed Investor: The Folly of Forecasting (TheStreet.com, June 7, 2005) The Mystery of the Awful Economists (TBP March 2, 2005) 2006 The Illusory World of Economic Forecasting (The Big Picture, 2006) 2008 Worst Predictions for 2008 (TBP, December 31, 2008) 2009 Why Diss Economic Forecasters (The Big Picture, 2009) In Stock: Bad Holiday Sales Forecasts (The…Read More| The Big Picture
Sorry, Steve: Here’s Why Apple Stores Won’t Work “Few outsiders think new stores, no matter how well-conceived, will get Apple back on the hot-growth path . . . Maybe it’s time Steve Jobs stopped thinking quite so differently.” -May 21, 2001 Regular readers know I am not a big fan of predictions.…Read More| The Big Picture
Let’s Say It All Together: Nobody Knows Anything The primary elections are another case study in the futility of making predictions. Bloomberg, May 5, 2016 In “Adventures in the Screen Trade,” screenwriter William Goldman wrote that “nobody knows anything.” It is a quote that is enjoying a second life these days. The book’s…Read More| The Big Picture
From all the chatter I’ve heard on Wall Street, I get the sense that many PC analysts – long wed to the windows world – have no clue what to make of the mini Mac. I cannot say I am surprised. Just last year, one PC analyst at a bulge bracket firm suggested Apple sell…Read More| The Big Picture
This was originally published at About This Particular Macintosh, January 1998. ~~ I recently had a computer purchase discussion with my sister—She and her husband would like to have a PC so that Jake and Jamie (my niece and nephew—ages 2 1/2 and 4 1/2) can learn computers and have some fun. Every time the…Read More| The Big Picture
December 2014| paulgraham.com
Cliff Edwards’s 2001 “Sorry, Steve: Here’s Why Apple Stores Won’t Work” piece for Businessweek is deservingly notorious in the annals of claim chowder, but there are a few things about it worth keeping in mind even today.| daringfireball.net
Bloomberg L.P. is the winning bidder for the McGraw-Hill magazine.| Media Decoder Blog