None of this article was written with AI assistance.| Timeline Topography Tales
Confidence level: I’m a computational physicist working on nanoscale simulations, so I have some understanding of most of the things discussed here, but I am not specifically an expert on the topics covered, so I can’t promise perfect accuracy.| Timeline Topography Tales
Everyone’s been talking about it. JD Vance read it. What does it actually tell us?| garymarcus.substack.com
AI 2027 predicts AIs with superhuman coding ability in 2027. This supplement details our model for forecasting when the Superhuman Coder milestone will be achieved, building off METR's time horizon work, and justifies why we think it’s plausible it is achieved by 2027.| ai-2027.com
