As futarchy interest and activity are way up lately, this seems a good time to elaborate on one of its most technical issues, one that @metaproph3t also discussed recently: decision selection bias.| www.overcomingbias.com
Quick note about a thing I didn't properly realize until recently. I don't know how important it is in practice. …| www.lesswrong.com
Say you’re Robyn Denholm, chair of Tesla’s board. And say you’re thinking about firing Elon Musk. One way to make up your mind would be to have peopl…| www.lesswrong.com
Futarchy is a meta-algorithm for making decisions using a given set of traders. For every possible action a, the beliefs of these traders are aggregated using a prediction market for that action, w…| The Universe from an Intentional Stance
1. Expected Utility| plato.stanford.edu