Admiral Lord Horatio Nelson is credited with proclaiming “I see no ships” when disregarding the signal to retreat during the Battle of Copenhagen in 1801. The saying has become a British idiom for …| Convex Strategies
“…if you want utility, don’t optimize expected utility because you’re bound to lose actual utility.” Ole Peters and Oliver Hulme, May 2025. Expected-utility maximizers don’t maximize utility. – Erg…| Convex Strategies
“Pretium iustum mathematicum, licet soli, Deo notum” Sometimes we get accused of being hard on central bankers. It is, however, not central bankers per se, nor any given particular practitioners, t…| Convex Strategies
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“I have been working in or around central banks for over fifty years. To my regret, as I look back on my career, I can now see that I was often guided by an evolving set of false beliefs about how …| Convex Strategies