Firing the BLS commissioner won’t prevent the effects of tariffs. But it will reduce American economic leadership and increase uncertainty for businesses, workers and investors.| www.natesilver.net
Sometimes, the stock market is the economy.| www.natesilver.net
After the election, the timelines are accelerating. We need a pluralistic debate about its implications — but the left is dealing itself out.| www.natesilver.net
Either Ann Selzer and the New York Times, or the rest of the polling industry.| www.natesilver.net
It barely pays attention to the polls. And its results just don't make a lot of sense.| www.natesilver.net
Voters constantly hear that the world is in a state of crisis. It isn't a surprise that they're kicking out incumbents.| www.natesilver.net
Americans are spending as much of their paychecks as ever on fast food — and everything else.| www.natesilver.net
All Employees, Total Nonfarm| fred.stlouisfed.org
The line between expertise and politics has become increasingly blurry. The demise of "Old Twitter" could help to reverse that.| www.natesilver.net