Exaggerating the risks (Part 18: Introduction to AI 2027) - Reflective altruism
This post introduces the AI 2027 report.| Reflective altruism
The AI 2027 report relies on two models of AI timelines. The first timelines model largely bakes hyperbolic growth into the model structure. The post Exaggerating the risks (Part 19: AI 2027 timelines forecast, time horizon extension) appeared first on Reflective altruism.| Reflective altruism
This post introduces the AI 2027 report.| Reflective altruism
AI 2027 predicts AIs with superhuman coding ability in 2027. This supplement details our model for forecasting when the Superhuman Coder milestone will be achieved, building off METR's time horizon work, and justifies why we think it’s plausible it is achieved by 2027.| ai-2027.com
Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)| Reflective altruism
Many effective altruists think that humanity faces high levels of existential risk. In this series, I look at some places where the risks may have been exaggerated.| Reflective altruism
