AI 2027 predicts generally superintelligent AIs in 2028. This supplement introduces our framework for thinking about the progression from AIs that are superhuman coders to generally superintelligent, and justifies why we think it's plausible the progression would take about 1 year.| ai-2027.com
Once AI can automate human labour, *physical* capabilities could grow explosively. Sufficiently advanced robotics could create a feedback loop where automated robot factories build more and better robot factories which build more and better robot factories. In this piece, we examine three stages of an **industrial explosion**: AI-directed human labour, fully automated physical labour, and nanotechnology. An industrial explosion would arise in a world which already has greatly increased cognit...| Forethought
Usage of artificial intelligence by legal professionals has skyrocketed from 19% in 2023 to 79% this year, according to the ninth edition of the Legal Trends Report, released today by Clio during its...| LawSites
Returns to R&D are key in growth dynamics and AI development. Our paper introduces new empirical techniques to estimate this vital parameter.| Epoch AI
We are past the event horizon; the takeoff has started. Humanity is close to building digital superintelligence, and at least so far it’s much less weird than it seems like it should be. Robots...| Sam Altman
AI 2027 predicts AIs with superhuman coding ability in 2027. This supplement details our model for forecasting when the Superhuman Coder milestone will be achieved, building off METR's time horizon work, and justifies why we think it’s plausible it is achieved by 2027.| ai-2027.com
Progress in pretrained language model performance outpaces expectations, occurring at a pace equivalent to doubling computational power every 5 to 14 months.| Epoch AI
AI tool sentiment | survey.stackoverflow.co
Some notes on robot economics.| benjamintodd.substack.com
Machine Alignment Monday 6/19/23| www.astralcodexten.com
I. Vox asks What Went Wrong With The Media’s Coronavirus Coverage? They conclude that the media needs to be better at “not just saying what we do know, but what we don’t know”. This rai…| Slate Star Codex
