I saw this tweet:| Grey Enlightenment
Two weeks ago I published “More correct predictions , and the role of IQ and forecasting” , in which I predicted no Bitcoin reserve, in addition to the success of Bitcoin hedging method, by modifying it to short Bitcoin 24-7 instead of only during market hours.| Grey Enlightenment
Polymarket as of 6/17/2025 is giving a 58% chance of “US military action against Iran before July,” where this is defined as:| Grey Enlightenment