A series of posts on the limits of human forecasting, and what we may learn from the very best research into the topic.| Commoncog
Why we need to be careful when using frameworks from the field of judgment and decision making.| Commoncog
What does it mean to be data driven in business? Most people think being data driven means looking at charts on a daily basis. Or they attempt to use data in their orgs, and then fall into one of the many traps that come with the territory. How do you| Commoncog
Is it really worth it to generate well-calibrated probabilistic predictions? Or would you do better if you assume that all prediction is too difficult, and act as if this were the case?| Commoncog
Results of a four month accelerated expertise experiment in Judo. Or: "I expected to learn about deliberate practice but instead learnt a ton about my mental shortcomings."| Commoncog