The media’s demand for certainty -- and its lack of statistical rigor -- is a bad match for our complex world.| FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.| FiveThirtyEight
Even at the end of a presidential campaign, polls don’t perfectly predict the final margin in the election. Sometimes the final polls are quite accurate. An ave…| FiveThirtyEight