Sam Altman says the research strategy that birthed ChatGPT is played out and future strides in artificial intelligence will require new ideas.| WIRED
This report evaluates the likelihood of ‘explosive growth’, meaning > 30% annual growth of gross world product (GWP), occurring by 2100. Although frontier GDP/capita growth has been constant for 150 years, over the last 10,000 years GWP growth has accelerated significantly. Endogenous growth theory, together with the empirical fact of the demographic transition, can explain […]| Open Philanthropy
How many humans does it take to make tech seem human? Millions.| The Verge
A conversation about what happens to the economy when intelligence becomes too cheap to meter.| asteriskmag.com
The deepest bias in American intellectual society; a new Moby-Dick; the US isn't making the best robots; plastics; process knowledge as industrial deepening| Dan Wang
A collection of the best technical, social, and economic arguments Humans have a good track record of innovation. The mechanization of agriculture, steam engines, electricity, modern medicine, computers, and the internet—these technologies radically changed the world. Still, the trend growth rate of GDP per capita in the world's frontier| The Gradient
Snippet: What is the problem we wish to solve when we try to construct a rational economic order? On certain familiar assumptions the answer is simple enough. If we possess all the relevant information, if we can start out from a given system of preferences, and if we command complete knowledge of available means, the […]| Econlib
Explore global data on nuclear energy production and the safety of nuclear technologies.| Our World in Data
"In retrospect, I wish I had known more about the hazards and difficulties of [running] a business." -- George McGovern| pmarca.substack.com
I've been reading a lot of predictions from people who are looking to understand what problems humanity will face 10-50 years out (and sometimes longer) in order to work in areas that will be instrumental for the future and wondering how accurate these predictions of the future are. The timeframe of predictions that are so far out means that only a tiny fraction of people making those kinds of predictions today have a track record so, if we want to evaluate which predictions are plausible, we...| danluu.com
Robert Solow quipped, “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” What if AI is the same way? What if it changes everything except the economy?| www.elidourado.com
As I wrote in the summer of 2018 on CD, I’ve probably created and posted more than 3,000 graphics on CD, Twitter, and Facebook including charts, graphs, tables, figures, maps, and Venn diagrams over the last 15 years. Of all of those graphics, I don’t think any has gotten more attention, links, re-Tweets, re-posts, and […]| American Enterprise Institute - AEI
Sixteen weaknesses in the classic argument for AI risk.| AI Impacts
I recently gave a talk (YouTube) at the RSS’22 L-DOD workshop. Here’s a lightly edited transcript and slides of the talk in blog form.| Eric Jang