I’ve often mocked science fiction stories set centuries in the future, yet with stable tech not much more advanced than our own, especially when they have big successful subgroups who resist innovation.| www.overcomingbias.com
The last month has greatly change what I see as the default future.| www.overcomingbias.com
The most likely scenario by which world human fertility will rise again includes a big return to communism. It will be a small-scale religious “commune” form of communism, not industrial state capitalism, but communism nonetheless.| www.overcomingbias.com
Most economic growth comes from innovation, not the accumulation of capital or labor.| www.overcomingbias.com