Since Donald Trump effectively wrapped up the Republican nomination this month, I’ve seen a lot of critical self-assessments from empirically minded journalists…| FiveThirtyEight
So is Trump's, but an extra four years makes a difference, and it could be the difference in the election.| www.natesilver.net
Even at the end of a presidential campaign, polls don’t perfectly predict the final margin in the election. Sometimes the final polls are quite accurate. An ave…| FiveThirtyEight
There's no shortage of explanations for why young voters are unhappy with Biden — without having to unskew the polls.| www.natesilver.net
My head says it's irrational to talk about replacing Biden. But my gut won't stop asking questions.| www.natesilver.net
Young liberals are abandoning it — and other groups are too comfortable with tit-for-tat hypocrisy| www.natesilver.net
Gallup estimates that 7.2% of the U.S. adult population is lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender or something other than heterosexual.| Gallup.com
We checked all of our sports and election predictions since 2008. They’re reliable.| FiveThirtyEight