What happens when you adapt the scoring system of the Good Judgment Project to your intuitions at work?| Commoncog
Why it's useful to study the results of the Good Judgment Project in service of building expertise.| Commoncog
A couple of things to keep in mind when faced with the deluge of predictions to welcome 2020.| Commoncog
Is it really worth it to generate well-calibrated probabilistic predictions? Or would you do better if you assume that all prediction is too difficult, and act as if this were the case?| Commoncog