All of the entries posted on Vaughn Tan tagged risk| vaughntan.org
All of the entries posted on Vaughn Tan tagged uncertainty| vaughntan.org
All of the entries posted on Vaughn Tan tagged strategy| vaughntan.org
All of the entries posted on Vaughn Tan tagged not-knowing| vaughntan.org
This is the reading for the 11th episode in my monthly discussion series on not-knowing. tl;dr: A mindset is a set of assumptions which shape what| vaughntan.org
This issue is about design principles for good, viably sneaky experiments. Good experiments are an appropriate way to act when faced with both uncertainty and an uncertainty-averse organization. At a minimum, a good experiment must have a hypothesis about a mechanism that the experiment will investigate, an actionable insight if the hypothesis is supported, and an actionable insight even if the hypothesis is not supported. A good experiment can be made easier for an uncertainty-averse organiz...| uncertaintymindset.substack.com
tl;dr: This post is about the five ways we might not-know about the relationships between actions and outcomes — in other words, five types of| vaughntan.org
Warning: Ideas and analysis in this post are still being baked. This is the reading for the 22/6/2023 discussion that’s part of my monthly| vaughntan.org
tl;dr: This article argues that thinking clearly about risk is essential to making good decisions and achieving good outcomes in situations of| vaughntan.org