So is Trump's, but an extra four years makes a difference, and it could be the difference in the election.| www.natesilver.net
2024 Republican Presidential Nomination | RealClearPolling| www.realclearpolling.com
2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling| www.realclearpolling.com
Democrats are taking a huge risk either way. But they shouldn't try to get away with a Rose Garden campaign.| www.natesilver.net
My head says it's irrational to talk about replacing Biden. But my gut won't stop asking questions.| www.natesilver.net
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.| FiveThirtyEight
State partisanship and COVID vaccination rates are strongly predictive of COVID death rates even once you account for age.| www.natesilver.net