Analyzing the accuracy of different prediction platforms on the US 2022 midterm elections| firstsigma.substack.com
Weeks after it was clear that Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, you could still make pennies on the dollar betting Joe Biden would win. Why doesn’t smart money drive out dumb money in election markets?| asteriskmag.com
This is my Iowa Caucus preview.| www.natesilver.net