Elevated inflation continues to be a top-of-mind preoccupation for households, businesses, and policymakers. Why has the post-pandemic inflation proved so persistent? In a Liberty Street Economics post early in 2022, we introduced a measure designed to dissect the buildup of the inflationary pressures that emerged in mid-2021 and to understand where the sources of its persistence are. This measure, that we labeled Multivariate Core Trend (MCT) inflation analyzes whether inflation is short-liv...| Liberty Street Economics
After forty-three months of forbearance, the pause on federal student loan payments has ended. Originally enacted at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, the administrative forbearance and interest waiver lasted until September 1, 2023, and borrowers’ monthly payments resumed this month. As discussed in an accompanying post, the pause on student loan payments afforded borrowers over $260 billion in waived payments throughout the pandemic, supporting borrowers’ consumption and...| Liberty Street Economics
Fields of interest| www.newyorkfed.org
This morning, the New York Fed’s Center for Microeconomic Data released the 2023:Q3 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. After only moderate growth in the second quarter, total household debt balances grew $228 billion in the third quarter across all types, especially credit cards and student loans. Credit card balances grew $48 billion this quarter and marked the eighth quarter of consecutive year-over year increases. The $154 billion nominal year-over-year increase in credit car...| Liberty Street Economics
In this post, the authors revisit their analysis on credit cards and examine which borrowers are struggling with their auto loan payments.| Liberty Street Economics
Fields of interest| www.newyorkfed.org
Donghoon Lee is an economic research advisor in Microeconomics. His primary research interests include housing economics, household finance, and labor economics. Prior to joining the New York Fed, Mr. Lee was an assistant professor at New York University. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of Pennsylvania.| www.newyorkfed.org
Andrew Haughwout is the deputy director of research in the Research and Statistics Group. He is a co-editor of the Liberty Street Economics blog and a co-editor of the Bank's Economic Policy Review. In addition to his duties at the Bank, he is a Penn Institute for Urban Research Scholar and serves on the Advisory Board of the Journal of Regional Science. He is a past Chair of the North American Regional Science Council and the Federal Reserve System Committee on Regional Analysis. Prior to jo...| www.newyorkfed.org
Developing and advancing techniques to measure economic conditions, expectations, and behavior at the consumer level| www.newyorkfed.org
Wilbert van der Klaauw is an economic research advisor in Microeconomics. He is also the director of the Center for Microeconomic Data and chair of the Research Group’s Workforce and Recruiting Committee. He is a labor economist and applied econometrician whose research interests include the study of life cycle labor supply and occupational choice decisions, household financial behavior and expectations, the economic determinants of household formation and dissolution, educational investmen...| www.newyorkfed.org
Unique data and insight into the credit conditions and activity of U.S. households| www.newyorkfed.org