We are interested in research and strategic work that could reduce risks and improve preparedness.| Open Philanthropy
This report evaluates the likelihood of ‘explosive growth’, meaning > 30% annual growth of gross world product (GWP), occurring by 2100. Although frontier GDP/capita growth has been constant for 150 years, over the last 10,000 years GWP growth has accelerated significantly. Endogenous growth theory, together with the empirical fact of the demographic transition, can explain […]| Open Philanthropy
See all our data, visualizations, and writing on economic growth.| Our World in Data
The original draft of Ayeja's report on biological anchors for AI timelines. The report includes quantitative models and forecasts, though the specif…| www.alignmentforum.org
The 2024 Revision of World Population Prospects is the twenty-eighth edition of official United Nations population estimates and projections that have been prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. It presents population estimates from 1950 to the present for 237 countries or areas, underpinned by analyses of historical demographic trends. This latest assessment considers the results of 1,910 national population cen...| population.un.org
