The past decade has seen explosive growth in forecasting research and applications using AI. Sophisticated new approaches show vast potential to support public safety, health, and economic prosperity.| Eos
This is a cross-post of one of our problem profiles. We’re currently posting some of our all-time best content to Substack. Read more.| 80000hours.substack.com
In recent months, the CEOs of leading AI companies have grown increasingly confident about rapid progress: OpenAI's Sam Altman: Shifted from saying in November "the rate of progress continues" to declaring in January "we are now confident we know how to build AGI" Anthropic's Dario Amodei: Stated in January "I'm more confident than I've ever been that we're close to powerful capabilities... in the next 2-3 years" Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis: Changed from "as soon as 10 years" in autumn t...| 80,000 Hours
The Importance of Catalysts, via a Case Study: Desktop Publishing and the Seybold Seminars| arbesman.substack.com