Ukraine’s problems are immense and multifaceted, but they’re all connected one way or another to the five following factors.| korybko.substack.com
At the absolute most, this aid package might prevent Ukraine’s collapse by keeping the state running and possibly slowing down Russia’s already glacial advance, thus potentially averting the worst-case scenario that the Ukrainian Intelligence Committee warned about in late February.| korybko.substack.com
Everything is moving so fast that nobody can say with confidence exactly what will or won’t happen, but a reminder of each side’s interests as their policymakers conceive them to be can help obtain a better idea of how likely certain scenarios might be.| korybko.substack.com
Although they’re playing a dangerous game of nuclear chicken with Russia, NATO is still exercising a degree of self-restraint, albeit solely due to its self-interest and not out of any so-called “responsibility”.| korybko.substack.com
Ukraine’s problems are immense and multifaceted, but they’re all connected one way or another to the five following factors.| TheAltWorld
Although Deputy Defense Minister Wziatek recently contradicted Foreign Minister Sikorski’s implied support of Macron’s proposal for NATO to conventionally intervene in Ukraine, this scenario still can’t be ruled out.| TheAltWorld
Essentially, the US wants Russia to stand down from its signaled intent of possibly using tactical nuclear weapons if NATO’s reportedly 100,000-strong invasion force crosses the Dnieper, which could occur if Russia achieves a military breakthrough.| korybko.substack.com