In our first forecast for the EP 2024 elections based on our model, in January 2024 – together with Susi Dennison and Imogen Learmouth and the teams at ECFR and DataPraxis – we predicted a “sharp right turn”: an increase in seats for the two political groups to the right of the EPP, and a shift in the median MEP from Renew Europe to EPP. In our latest forecast, and our final one before the election, we are still forecasting that the next EP will be considerably more right-leaning th...| Simon Hix