Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.| www.natesilver.net
It’s the Electoral College.| www.natesilver.net
If the popular vote is close, Trump will probably win the election.| www.natesilver.net
You can like the president or his policies. But his campaign was a disaster. And he didn't just drop out — he lost.| www.natesilver.net
The rules may be different when it’s a sprint and not a marathon.| www.natesilver.net
They're probably still underdogs against Trump, but Biden dropping out improves their odds.| www.natesilver.net
Democrats don't know how to spot a bluff.| www.natesilver.net
It barely pays attention to the polls. And its results just don't make a lot of sense.| www.natesilver.net
Our model is pessimistic for Biden. But the reality is probably worse.| www.natesilver.net