Both parties are in a dilemma whereby each believes that they have more to gain at the level of national and political interests by escalating tensions than by being the first to de-escalate them.| korybko.substack.com
The recent worsening of Poland’s ties with Germany and Ukraine, which is partly attributable to the ruling party’s electioneering strategy, just led to those two entering into a military partnership.| korybko.substack.com
Seeing as how both sides are now officially prioritizing their national interests, and recalling that these are contradictory on sensitive issues like agricultural cooperation and historical memory, the future of their relations doesn’t look as rosy as before.| korybko.substack.com
This is the US’ reward to Poland for replacing its conservative-nationalist government with a liberal-globalist one and then comprehensively subordinating itself to Germany.| korybko.substack.com
NATO is planning for a possible Russian breakthrough across the Line of Contact later this year but isn’t yet sure how to react if that happens.| TheAltWorld
Although Deputy Defense Minister Wziatek recently contradicted Foreign Minister Sikorski’s implied support of Macron’s proposal for NATO to conventionally intervene in Ukraine, this scenario still can’t be ruled out.| TheAltWorld