3 months ago, in the article “CHEF’S TABLE: NVIDIA,” I already highlighted how Nvidia’s sophistication in cooking its books reached a remarkably high level. At that time, thanks to fresh disclosure in its report, not only did we manage to figure out the whole structure Nvidia, with the support of...| JustDario
NVIDIA’s cooking of its financial earnings has reached a level of beauty and sophistication that the company should be awarded 3 Michelin stars and be featured in an episode of the popular Netflix series Chef’s Table. Get comfortable because this episode is going to be one with many “Woah!” Singapore...| JustDario
The first time I talked about CoreWeave was more than one year ago in “IS MAGNETAR CAPITAL BLOWING AIR INTO THE NVIDIA (PONZI) SCHEME SO THEY CAN BET ON ITS IMPLOSION?” when I described how the hedge fund Magnetar Capital’s investment in CoreWeave had many similarities with the strategy they...| JustDario
Right now, the futures market is pricing only a 2.7% probability of seeing the FED delivering a 25bp rate cut in the upcoming meeting. Considering the overall economic situation, my personal view is that the FED should be tightening financial conditions further, not the opposite. However, while US inflation remains...| JustDario
Yesterday, I watched the opening of #US #stocks trading in literal disbelief as investors stampeded into $NYCB, sending the stock up 15% at some point. The scene reminded me of the movie “Independence Day”, one of my favorites, when you see people dancing on top of buildings right below the...| JustDario
As I write, NVIDIA is up 8.56% in After Hours trading after releasing their “monster” Q4-23 results. Compared to the Q3-23 report, there isn’t much change in all the red flags 🚩 I highlighted before [JustDario], but while I was comparing the two, my eye caught something strange. Before I...| JustDario
Yesterday, I posed this question: “WHAT IF NVIDIA SIMPLY TAGGED ALONG WITH A MICROSOFT AZURE SCAM PLAYBOOK?”. Twenty-four hours later, the company themselves replied to the question (I believe involuntarily), and the answer was “YES”. Please take a look at the part I highlighted from the #NVIDIA CFO commentary related...| JustDario
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with...| JustDario
This year alone, the total CAPEX on AI infrastructure from Big Tech companies is expected to reach 330 billion $, with Microsoft accounting for more than one-third of it, as per the latest results and projections. Where is all this money going to be spent? To buy chips and build...| JustDario
Deutsche Bank just reported earnings for its Q2-25 and, of course, everything is awesome! Needless to say, Wall Street expectations have been beaten across the board. As I write, the stock is trading 6% higher on the day. As usual, everyone read the press release, and no one took the...| JustDario
UBS just delivered another earnings expectations beat, what a surprise right? If it wasn’t for the Swiss regulator, who is aware of the bank’s real condition and doesn’t back off from asking UBS bank management to significantly increase their capital to prepare for potential significant losses (“Switzerland’s Finance Sheriff Takes...| JustDario
Bank of America (BAC) just released its Q1 2025 earnings, and if you thought past balance sheet shenanigans were wild, you’re in for another ride. Back in November 2024, in HOW BANK OF AMERICA IS HIDING ITS MOUNTING PROBLEMS BEHIND A MOUNTAIN OF REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS, we discussed how BAC heavily...| JustDario
Last Friday, #ARM closed the day at $87.19, down by 16.90% in one session. The stock overall lost 31.10% last week or $40bn in market cap. Why is this a big deal? Because #Softbank holds ~90% of #ARM and has been manipulating this stock on the upside since an IPO...| JustDario
Almost 10 months ago, I wrote the article “MOUNTING SIGNS OF LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS AMONG LARGE US AND UK BANKS” to highlight several elements pointing toward a buildup of liquidity problems in the banking sector. Three elements were particularly noteworthy at the time: Last week, something very interesting happened again: banks...| JustDario
First of all, I would like to praise The Information for its excellent work in doing proper journalism, something that nowadays is more unique than rare, sadly. Let’s start with the explosive article just published and that, of course, barely caught the attention of mainstream media that are being very...| JustDario
The Federal Reserve just released the results of its 2025 round of stress testing on 22 major US banks, and personally, I have never come across something more ridiculous and hypocritical. Let’s start with the fact that the FED itself admits how it found it appropriate to make this year’s...| JustDario
Imagine a world where people only spend what they earn or where companies borrow to build new factories and use the additional revenues generated to repay the debt. Imagine a world where you have to plan and save enough money in advance to make an expensive purchase or where governments...| JustDario
More than one year ago in the article “IS THIS HOW BANKS ARE CONCEALING THEIR LOSSES ON SILVER SHORT POSITIONS?” I first tried to bring attention to several anomalies happening in the Silver market that could only be explained by active price manipulation activities on LBMA and COMEX contracts. Why...| JustDario
Something special happened today, or to be precise, did not happen. As Israel started its new military campaign against Iran, all risk assets in financial markets started to dive, from stock futures to crypto. Understandably, oil prices started to spike in what can potentially become a “VAR shock” event if...| JustDario
As per the most recent estimates, Google Search accounts for ~90% of all online searches worldwide and ~27.7% of total digital advertising revenues, followed closely in second place by Meta with ~26.8%. The global advertising revenue market surpassed 1 trillion USD for the first time in 2024 (Global ad revenue...| JustDario
Have you noticed how more and more people are distancing themselves from S(c)am Altman? Microsoft’s CEO, who according to his own words “bet the farm on OpenAI”, is the latest high-profile figure showing signs of frustration towards OpenAI’s CEO, despite his best efforts to hide them. Who can blame him?...| JustDario
Imagine a whole financial system (banks, insurances, and pension funds) that for decades never second-guessed the solvency and liquidity of its own country’s government bonds because no matter what, its central bank was always ready to show a bid in case there were no takers in the market. What I...| JustDario
Back in August last year I wrote the article “IF THE FED CUTS RATES, THE DAMAGES WILL BE FAR GREATER THAN THE BENEFITS” to deliver the following warnings: “To all those who advocate rate cuts because those will benefit the economy, I dare to ask where exactly the economy will...| JustDario
While global investors are busily plucking daisy petals to decide between fear and #fomo, a (very) large elephant is crying out in pain in one corner of the globe. In a surreptitious move, #Softbank quietly rescheduled the release of their Financial Results for the entire 2023 fiscal year from the...| JustDario
As I am writing this article, SoftBank Group shares are up ~5% after the release of the latest Full Year earnings results. We know that traders nowadays only follow headlines that are carefully crafted to always deliver the most bullish narrative and hardly spend any time digging into the numbers...| JustDario
One month ago in the article “DEAR DONALD, THIS BATTLE IS LOST” this is what I suggested the US administration should have done to salvage the situation: “What should the US do now? Instead of borrowing a page from -The Art Of The Deal-, Donald Trump should consider reading Sun...| JustDario
Similar to Luke Skywalker taking a sigh of relief after successfully striking the Death Star, traders all around the world took a deep sigh of relief when the threat of the tariffs’ laser beam pulverizing their wealth did not materialize after a long weekend of “Black Monday is coming!” fear-mongering...| JustDario
The dominoes are now falling with brutal efficiency. In one devastating week, the U.S. government severed Nvidia’s China revenue artery while TSMC plunged a 30% cost dagger into its margins. This isn’t coincidence – it’s causation. I have warned since 2024 that Nvidia’s “AI supremacy” was a carefully crafted mirage....| JustDario
US Tariffs on China currently stand at 145% after the latest increase from the White House, while nearly every other country has been granted a 90-day pause to either negotiate a deal with the US or prepare for the tariffs’ fallout on their internal economies. On Wednesday, everyone was screaming...| JustDario
History never repeats, but it often rhymes. Yesterday was one of those very fascinating days in which you experience so many déjà vu moments. A few hours before #Softbank’s FY2023 results, a kitty started to roar again after more than 3 years of silence (@TheRoaringKitty), and vibes from 2021 started...| JustDario
Exactly one year ago, on April 1st, 2024, I published the article “AFTER BITCOIN DID IT, NOW GOLD IS SOUNDING THE ALARM“. At that time, when the gold price stood at ~2,300 USD/oz and Bitcoin at ~69,000 USD/BTC (compared to ~3,100 USD/oz and ~83,000 USD/BTC respectively today), I stated: “Now,...| JustDario
Recent years have been characterized by an unusual spike in the number of companies listed on the public stock market that ended up filing for Chapter 11 shortly after. Notable cases include WeWork, Lordstown Motors, ELMS, Bird Global, Proterra, and Nikola. While some companies were simply bad businesses, others like...| JustDario
This year’s GTC 2025 confirmed what many observers already realized back in January after Jensen Huang’s presentation at CES 2025: the AI Narrative cultivated by Nvidia since 2021 doesn’t trigger the same excitement that it used to anymore. This narrative, based on the prospect of the nearly infinite potential of...| JustDario
One month ago, when the LIBRA scandal broke out (“Argentina’s $4.6 Billion Crypto Scandal; Largest-Ever Crypto Theft“), I wrongly assumed that the era of “scam coins” and predatory “pump and dumps” was finally over, considering it was exposed how the whole meme coins casino was actually rigged in favor of...| JustDario
First of all, who the hell is the latest counterpart added to the #FED Standing Repo Facility: “Norinchukin Bank”? “Officially,” it is a Cooperative Bank owned by Japanese agricultural, fishery, forestry cooperatives in #Japan. Yes, that’s right, an “agricultural” bank from Japan got a seat at the #FED big boys...| JustDario
A notification pops up on my phone about UBS’s latest earnings results and how cheerfully the market reacted, sending the stock up ~3% at the opening. As I always do, I go to the company’s investor relations website, download the latest report, and start reading. It didn’t take me long...| JustDario
“Is it possible for a bank to continue operating while being insolvent? The answer is yes, and Norinchukin Bank is the best example of it at the moment”. This was how I started my last article on Norinchukin Bank 3 months ago. This is why yesterday I wasn’t surprised at...| JustDario
The latest Nvidia 10-K is not only remarkable for the outstanding results the company achieved in the last fiscal year, a good chunk of which are very questionable as we discussed so many times (archive), but is also remarkable for the significant amount of risk disclosures and legal disclaimers included...| JustDario
Three months ago, right after SoftBank’s quarterly results for the three months ended in September 2024, I wrote “SOFTBANK IS RUNNING OUT OF CASH, BUT NO WORRIES NVIDIA IS TRYING TO RESCUE IT,” highlighting how Masaponzi Son’s company continues to burn significant amounts of cash. However, a timely announcement of...| JustDario
As I was finishing up drafting this article, a “breaking news” pops up: “SoftBank to get first NVIDIA chips for Japan super computer”. How timely, right? SoftBank just released its quarterly financial statements that leave not much room for doubt: SoftBank group only has cash to stay in business for...| JustDario
From a fundamental perspective, no matter from which angle you look at it, NVIDIA should be nowhere near its current price for a number of reasons, most of which are shady, to say the least, we discussed so far: However, here we are with a 3 trillion-plus market cap stock...| JustDario
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,...| JustDario
The 2013 gold market crash, triggered by a sudden collapse in COMEX futures prices, exposed vulnerabilities in the global gold trading system. At that time, paper gold markets—dominated by futures contracts and speculative trading—overshadowed physical demand, creating a fragile equilibrium. Investors watched in disbelief as prices plummeted nearly 30% in...| JustDario
During 2023, we have discussed so often how (ridiculously insolvent) banks have made extensive use of “Hold To Maturity” accounting to the point that it is now more appropriate to rename it “Hide Till Maturity” (TwitterX). Dump any asset with a market value implying a steep loss in the HTM...| JustDario
Goldman Sachs just released its Q1-24 results and, of course, they beat expectations. Nothing less could be expected from the “best in its league” right? Well, if you pay attention to details, #GS financials are less and less shiny (and increasingly worth paying attention to). Once again, #GS cherry-picked the...| JustDario
The Q4-2024 banks earnings season officially started with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, and Citigroup kicking off the “beat expectations” parade: Between one “Kumbaya!” and a “High Five!”, one small detail across all these earnings reports clashes significantly with reality: provisions for expected credit losses. Before diving...| JustDario
A very important event occurred on May 6th, 2022, that many NVIDIA investors are unaware of: “SEC Charges NVIDIA Corporation with Inadequate Disclosures about Impact of Cryptomining“ Let’s examine what Nvidia did, shall we? These words come directly from the SEC. As incredible as it sounds, Chief Kristina Littman stated:...| JustDario
Insurance isn’t really an area that I had much interest in, mostly because in the countries where I’ve lived, it has generally been a well-run and stable business. However, the recent Los Angeles wildfires prompted me to look into this sector in California more closely, and what I discovered is...| JustDario
If you think that the semiconductor stocks bubble popping will mark an end to the speculative mania, I am afraid that won’t happen for 2 reasons: How are institutional investors going to reposition? As I already anticipated long ago, they will keep rotating into financial stocks and Bitcoin: Don’t believe...| JustDario
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the...| JustDario
No, I didn’t get the title wrong, I meant to say that. You know why? Because that’s what’s written in $UBS Q4-23 financial statements just released. Let’s go straight into it. Please look at Picture 1 where you can see the amount of Total Assets and Total Liabilities still attached...| JustDario
I started the year writing about how in 2024 the practice used by banks of hiding their losses in Hold to Maturity books (hence “hide till maturity”) would have come to an end [Post Below] . However, I was wrong there, because I wrote this: “As I explained in a...| JustDario
#GS Q4-23 was quite a spectacular game of smoke and mirrors that, of course, fooled the mainstream media. CNBC – “Goldman Sachs tops revenue estimates on better-than-expected asset management results” WSJ – “Goldman Scores a Win With Sharply Higher Earnings” Let me show you one of the “tricks” they used....| JustDario
First of all, what is Magnetar Capital (MC)? It’s a hedge fund, no wait, it’s a private equity, no actually it’s a shadow bank, ehm, what the heck is MC? It’s a very interesting combination of the three categories I mentioned above and it has been working quite well for...| JustDario
Another great quarter for Microsoft that beat Wall Street analysts’ expectations comfortably (what a surprise), but once again the tides turned when the management started to provide guidance on future growth that came short of what investors were expecting, sending the stock price negative almost 4% during after-hours trading. However,...| JustDario
Dear reader, please accept my apologies, but today’s article is going to be quite short. Why? Because in its latest quarterly release HSBC disclosed pretty much nothing relevant to truly assess its balance sheet’s strength in the 71 pages made available to the public. However, even if you can clearly...| JustDario
On 14 October 2008, the BOJ entered the bailout arena in full force with its “Introduction of Measures regarding Money Market Operations to Ensure Stability in Financial Markets.” Among the four “temporary” initiatives announced, the last one was the most crucial one… and remains the most crucial one today. “Expansion...| JustDario
3 months ago in “NVIDIA, ITS RECYCLED “#AI REVOLUTION” AND THE DARK SIDE OF IT KEPT AWAY FROM THE PUBLIC”, we already saw how the “#AI Revolution” was a PR campaign #NVIDIA tried to push already several times in the past without success. #OpenAI, a company founded on the 11th...| JustDario
CHEF’S TABLE: NVIDIA| JustDario
While digging into #BAC‘s Q4-23 financial statements, I couldn’t help but wonder if they had lost their minds during the last three months of 2023. No, I am not referring to the “press release” or the “presentation,” which are usually prepared to “feed” the media rather than provide transparency to...| JustDario
Wow, what a great quarter and great 2024 for #Microsoft, every business (except devices) is growing its revenues and the sun couldn’t be brighter on Redmond, yada yada yada, high five high five. This was pretty much the summary of Microsoft earnings call. Investors’ reaction after earnings release? Microsoft shares...| JustDario
Bank of America (#BAC) published its last quarterly financial earnings on July 16, and from the 17th to the 19th, Warren Buffett sold ~34m shares of BAC, cashing out ~1.5bn USD (Buffett’s Berkshire Sells Bank of America Stock Worth $1.5 Billion). Yes, Uncle Warren still holds almost 1 billion BAC...| JustDario
Every avalanche always starts with that last small drop of a snowflake that makes the whole pack of snow too heavy to stick on the mountain. Since the #FED and fellow Central Banks joined the BOJ in the great money-printing crusade to “save the world” from COVID-19 in March 2020,...| JustDario
In September 2023, I addressed for the first time the (nasty) topic of #banks’ balance sheet health in the “This time is not different” post on X. After that, I expanded the analysis to large US and European banks in “WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A...| JustDario
As many of you know, I am quite fond of digging deep into corporate financials. However, there is a physical limit to how much a person can cover. Furthermore, it requires a long time and experience to not miss the nuances of increasingly complex financial reporting documents. Add to this...| JustDario
Since my first article on the topic several days ago (WHO ARE TODAY’S “NINJA” SUBPRIME LENDERS? SHOCKINGLY… PENSION FUNDS), where I focused on the fact that pension funds are shockingly the predominant buyers of “Buy Now Pay Later” CLOs, I have continued my investigation into this incredibly obscure part of...| JustDario
The #Nvidia 10-Q for the latest quarter is now out, and I have to admit the company is doing an incredibly good job in covering its back from any potential legal consequences of its actions once the incredible Ponzi scheme they are part of will inevitably collapse under its own...| JustDario