“An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.” Benjamin Franklin, circa 1736. For those in the more advanced metric world, there are 16 ounces in a pound, or adjusted that would be “28.35 grams…| Convex Strategies
“Situations of uncertainty and intractability rule out optimization and, along with it, the usefulness of the theory of maximizing subjective expected utility.” Gerd Gigernzer, November 2024. The r…| Convex Strategies
“…if you want utility, don’t optimize expected utility because you’re bound to lose actual utility.” Ole Peters and Oliver Hulme, May 2025. Expected-utility maximizers don’t maximize utility. – Erg…| Convex Strategies
“The products are gaining traction because the buyers don’t have to mark them to market, thus avoiding the possibility of booking paper losses.” Japan Regulator Planning Crackdown on $6…| Convex Strategies
In last month’s Update, we pondered the question “what about the 40?”. This has long been a topic of our own discussions and clearly an issue that rose to the front of many people’s minds in the mo…| Convex Strategies
“Pretium iustum mathematicum, licet soli, Deo notum” Sometimes we get accused of being hard on central bankers. It is, however, not central bankers per se, nor any given particular practitioners, t…| Convex Strategies
“Mainstream economics is replete with ideas that “everyone knows” to be true, but that are actually arrant nonsense.” Jeremy Rudd. Federal Reserve Board. September 2021. We don’t often go looking f…| Convex Strategies
“Too often, the potential range of behavior of complex systems had to be guessed from a small set of data. When a system worked normally, staying within a narrow range of parameters, engineers made…| Convex Strategies
Sorry, but we must return to our often-used Hayek quote yet again. “We are ready to accept almost any explanation of the present crisis of our civilization except one: that the present state of the…| Convex Strategies
“Do you know the secret of life? One thing. Just one thing.” Curly Washburn. City Slickers, 1991. We find this a very useful, and accepted, philosophy when it comes to risk management of any activi…| Convex Strategies