No one can say with confidence what’ll happen other than predict that the conflict might pass a turning point later this year| TheAltWorld
Whichever way one cuts it, the US is the most disruptive force in this process, and it has every reason to sabotage its systemic rival’s peace talks for divide-and-rule purposes in the New Cold War.| korybko.substack.com
This is a game-changer in the New Cold War since it’ll take the US’ rivalry with Russia and China to a qualitatively more dangerous level through the consequent hyper-militarization of space.| korybko.substack.com
The Pakistani people can compel China into taking urgent action behind the scenes to de-escalate this crisis by publicly calling upon it to do so, which would also create the optics of their country’s US-backed fascist post-modern coup regime literally shooting at Chinese-friendly peaceful protesters, thus forcing China to get diplomatically involved if it isn’t already.| korybko.substack.com
To be clear, the explanations and forecasts shared in this analysis concern the scenario of a Russian rapprochement with the West upon the successful conclusion of peace talks with the US, they’re not in any way a declaration of what will absolutely come to pass.| korybko.substack.com
Trump’s preference for sanctions and his latest threat to double down on secondary ones could derail India’s careful multi-alignment between the US and Russia by forcing it to choose between them.| korybko.substack.com
Russia envisages the improvement of relations with Pakistan enabling it to mediate a resolution to that country’s disputes with Afghanistan and India, per all parties’ request for its diplomatic assistance of course, in order to pioneer new energy and trade corridors to South Asia.| korybko.substack.com
The West’s sanctions policy failed to curtail Russia’s military-industrial production, which actually ended up surging over the past 18 months as a result of clandestine procurement and the successful transition to a wartime economy.| korybko.substack.com
NATO is planning for a possible Russian breakthrough across the Line of Contact later this year but isn’t yet sure how to react if that happens.| TheAltWorld