As the presidential race finishes out the last two weeks, it’s clearly a close race. In the past I have recommended prediction markets, and right now these are giving Trump about 60% odds. Th…| Economist Writing Every Day
Ray Fair at Yale runs one of the oldest models to use economic data to predict US election results. It predicts vote shares for President and the US House as a function of real GDP growth during th…| Economist Writing Every Day
Are you better off than you were four years ago? That question was asked at the Presidential debate last night. But more importantly, we also got a massive amount of new data on income and poverty …| Economist Writing Every Day
