Financial reporting, equity analysis and equity valuation insights for investors| The Footnotes Analyst
Considering the market’s focus on earnings, other comprehensive income (OCI) can be easily overlooked by investors. We think OCI is always important in equity analysis, but if you use a residual income approach to valuation the requirement for a ‘clean surplus’ in your model makes it vital to consider gains and losses reported outside profit and loss. We explain clean surplus accounting and why residual income valuations only work if your forecast financial statements meet the clean sur...| The Footnotes Analyst
Alternative performance measures (APMs) can be helpful for investors, but not necessarily the figure itself. It is the disaggregation of performance that is the real benefit. Focusing solely on adjusted measures means you will miss important aspects of profitability. We suggest how to use APMs to better understand performance, but without missing key elements. In our view this approach would provide a better basis for investor forecasts, as we demonstrate by disaggregating the IFRS earnings o...| The Footnotes Analyst
Like many companies, AstraZeneca excludes intangible asset amortisation from its adjusted performance metrics. The stock currently trades at a price earnings ratio of 23x based on ‘core’ 2018 earnings, but without the add back the PE would be about 37x. Is the add back justified? And if so do companies add back the right amount? The intangible amortisation problem in equity analysis arises from the inconsistency between the accounting for purchased and self-developed intangible assets. We...| The Footnotes Analyst
Although we generally prefer an enterprise value based approach, earnings and price earnings ratios remain an important and legitimate component of equity analysis and valuation. Earnings based analysis includes the earnings per share enhancement or dilutive effects of major transactions. We discuss the value relevance of earnings enhancement or dilution arising from new capital bring raised and invested, with a focus on rights issues. In an earnings-based approach to analysis, it is importan...| The Footnotes Analyst
In many transactions the amount payable may not be not known until sometime after the related asset, liability, income or expense is recognised in financial statements. In some cases, the accounting for this ‘variable consideration’ is clearly specified by IFRS. However, in others, including the purchase of fixed assets, companies are free to adopt different approaches. Intangible assets arising from football player transfers are a good example of where companies can apply different accou...| The Footnotes Analyst
Following the 2008 financial crisis, loan loss provisioning was changed to reflect ‘expected’ losses rather than ‘incurred’ losses. This made the impairment reserves of banks more responsive to changes in credit quality, but it also introduced a distorting day 2 effect. Under US GAAP most expected loan losses are charged to profit up front. This ‘prudent’ approach may be liked by banking regulators, but it can produce performance metrics that are confusing for investors. The disto...| The Footnotes Analyst
Residual income based valuations are a useful alternative to the more common discounted cash flow. While both approaches must produce the same answer for a given set of assumptions and value drivers, we think it can be easier to derive realistic inputs using the residual income approach, considering the focus on return on investment. However, residual income also poses challenges. The approach requires ‘clean surplus’ accounting, return inputs must allow for accounting distortions due to ...| The Footnotes Analyst