Like many, our attention this month was drawn towards a non-market related set of events. The US 20-year war in Afghanistan finally came to an end. What really got our attention can be visualized b…| Convex Strategies
“Mainstream economics is replete with ideas that “everyone knows” to be true, but that are actually arrant nonsense.” Jeremy Rudd. Federal Reserve Board. September 2021. We don’t often go looking f…| Convex Strategies
Nassim Taleb introduced the concept of Wittgenstein’s ruler in the first book of his Incerto series, “Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in Markets”. He elaborated on the c…| Convex Strategies
In our discussions last month about entropy, we introduced the term “arrow of time”. “Like with all things that live in non-ergodic, path dependent space, time dependence matters. Something that ma…| Convex Strategies
Last month, in our February 2023 Update, “Sharpe World is Nefarious”, we posed this question: “If a bank loses money in accrual books and can continue to fund the losses with government guaranteed …| Convex Strategies