How Much Power Will Frontier AI Training Demand in 2030? | Epoch AI
The power required to train the largest frontier models is growing by more than 2x per year, and is on trend to reaching multiple gigawatts by 2030.| Epoch AI
The power required to train the largest frontier models is growing by more than 2x per year, and is on trend to reaching multiple gigawatts by 2030.| Epoch AI
Algorithmic progress in AI may not reduce compute spending—instead, it could drive higher investment as efficiency unlocks new opportunities.| epochai.substack.com
Making sense of recent technology trends and claims| www.aisnakeoil.com
Our director explains Epoch AI’s mission and how we decide our priorities. In short, we work on projects to understand the trajectory of AI, share this knowledge publicly, and inform important decisions about AI.| Epoch AI
We project how many notable AI models will exceed training compute thresholds. Model counts rapidly grow from 10 above 1e26 FLOP by 2026, to over 200 by 2030.| Epoch AI
This Gradient Updates issue explores how much energy ChatGPT uses per query, revealing it’s 10x less than common estimates.| Epoch AI
The development of AI that is more broadly capable than humans will create a new and serious threat: *AI-enabled coups*. An AI-enabled coup could be staged by a very small group, or just a single person, and could occur even in established democracies. Sufficiently advanced AI will introduce three novel dynamics that significantly increase coup risk. Firstly, military and government leaders could fully replace human personnel with AI systems that are *singularly loyal* to them, eliminating th...| Forethought
In recent months, the CEOs of leading AI companies have grown increasingly confident about rapid progress: OpenAI's Sam Altman: Shifted from saying in November "the rate of progress continues" to declaring in January "we are now confident we know how to build AGI" Anthropic's Dario Amodei: Stated in January "I'm more confident than I've ever been that we're close to powerful capabilities... in the next 2-3 years" Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis: Changed from "as soon as 10 years" in autumn t...| 80,000 Hours
“Any fool can know. The point is to understand.” ― Albert Einstein| www.strangeloopcanon.com
Some notes on robot economics.| benjamintodd.substack.com
On the eve of ChatGPT’s second birthday, I examine the fault lines in one of the field's most powerful assumptions.| ashugarg.substack.com
