In NE-2, Rep. Don Bacon's (R) retirement pushes the seat to Leans Democratic, while North Carolina's Senate race remains a Toss-up without Sen. Thom Tillis (R).| Sabato's Crystal Ball
History suggested Democrats would be favored to flip the House in 2026 as soon as Donald Trump clinched the presidency in 2024, Little that’s happened over the last several months calls into question that initial, gut-level assessment.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
Midterm electorates are smaller, older, and less diverse -- and they often see the non-presidential party improve their share of the House vote.| Sabato's Crystal Ball